Roanoke College Poll shows Obama, Kaine opening “significant” leads in Virginia
Roanoke.com - over 4 years
President Barack Obama
Mitt Romney. Photo by Gage Skidmore.
Roanoke College has just released a poll showing President Obama with an 8-point lead in Virginia and Democrat Tim Kaine with an even bigger 10-point lead in the Senate race.
A few observations:
* This is a poll of likely voters, not registered voters — that’s the type of sample you’d want to see at this point in the campaign.
* This poll also includes cellphones, not just landlines — figuring out how to account for the growing number of people with no landlines has become an issue for pollsters around the country, so this puts Roanoke College ahead of the curve.
* This poll was open for a pretty long period of time — Sept. 19 to 28; usually, you want to see a smaller window of polling, because so much can change over a longer window.
* Historical note: The Roanoke College Poll was the first poll back in 1994 to pick up Chuck Robb’s late-campaign surge that took him past Oliver North. I remember at the time writi