David Rothschild
British environmentalist
David Rothschild
David Mayer de Rothschild is a British adventurer, ecologist, and environmentalist and head of Adventure Ecology, an expedition group raising awareness about climate change. He is a member of the Rothschild family, the youngest of three children of Victoria Lou Schott (born 1949) and Sir Evelyn de Rothschild (b. 1931) of the Rothschild banking family of England.
Biography
David Mayer de Rothschild's personal information overview.
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News
News abour David Mayer de Rothschild from around the web
Clinton’s Improved Odds Spark Global Stock Market Rally
Yahoo News - 3 months
It’s hard to know exactly what impact the FBI’s announcement on Sunday that it will not recommend criminal charges against Hillary Clinton because of her private email server will have on tomorrow’s presidential election. Shortly after a letter from FBI Director James Comey was released on Sunday saying that a new cache of emails (most of which were duplicates of emails already reviewed) had revealed no evidence of criminal wrongdoing, economist David Rothschild, who monitors political betting markets, noted an uptick in the price of futures contracts that pay out if Clinton wins. By Monday morning, Rothschild’s aggregation of betting market data was showing an 89 percent chance of a Clinton victory over Republican Donald Trump.
Article Link:
Yahoo News article
The science of predicting Oscar winners
Reuters.com - almost 4 years
Want to know which films stand to win the most statues at the Academy Awards? Applying models used to forecast elections, economist David Rothschild of Microsoft Research breaks down the probabilities in six of the top categories. (February 21, 2012)
Article Link:
Reuters.com article
David Rothschild: How Many Oscars Will Lincoln Win? Not Too Many!
Huffington Post - about 4 years
After addressing all 24 categories individually, it is an interesting and meaningful follow-up to consider how they interact. If Lincoln wins the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay, does that make Lincoln's likelihood of winning Best Picture increase, decrease, or is there no correlation? A positive correlation story assumes that voters like (or know) certain movies and will vote for those movies in multiple categories; thus, as movies win earlier categories, they are more likely to win later categories. For example, in the most extreme situation, assume voters are either Argo or Lincoln fans. Any voter that votes for Argo (Lincoln) for Best Adapted Screenplay will also vote for Argo (Lincoln) for Best Picture. Thus, if Argo (Lincoln) wins Best Adapted Screenplay it becomes extremely likely to win Best Picture. A negative correlation story assumes that voters want to spread around their accolades by giving different movies votes in different categories; thus, as movies wi ...
Article Link:
Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Obama Versus Lincoln and Argo
Huffington Post - about 4 years
Branching out from politics and economics, I have been examining Oscar predictions over the last few weeks. While I approach the science of predictions the same way for both political elections and the Oscars, there are some key differences. When I forecast politics I utilize four main sources of data: fundamental data (i.e., economic indicators, incumbency, etc.,), prediction markets, polls, and user-generated data. Two of these sources: polls and fundamental data are much less useful for the Oscars. This places greater strain on the other two sources: prediction markets and user-generated data. Early in an election cycle I rely on the fundamental data to provide a baseline prediction for all of the elections. My model was very accurate for 2012, correctly predicting 50 of 51 Electoral College elections in mid-February. The same two candidates run in all 51 Electoral College races, thus there is no state-by-state difference for some key fundamental categories: presidential ...
Article Link:
Huffington Post article
Michael Hogan: Predicting The Oscars ... With Science!
The Huffington Post - about 4 years
If the media learned anything from the 2012 election (fat chance), it's that today's sophisticated statistical models are far better at predicting outcomes than self-appointed pundits with pet theories. Not that we'll ever be free of the latter, but we now have a license to treat them the way Brad Pitt treated the chain-smoking scouts in "Moneyball" who judged baseball prospects based on their looks rather than their ability to get to first base. Nate Silver got the lion's share of press for predicting the outcome of the presidential race in all 50 states, but HuffPost's own Simon Jackson and Mark Blumenthal, working under the HuffPost Pollster banner, matched that impressive feat. Naturally, as the guy in charge of the entertainment operation here, I wanted in on the action. After months of floating theories with my colleague Christopher Rosen in our weekly FYC column, I told Blumenthal I wanted a statistical model that could tell us with scientific certainty who woul ...
Article Link:
The Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Handicapping the Oscars, It Is All About Lincoln
The Huffington Post - about 4 years
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced its nominees for 85th Academy Awards and the big story so far this awards season is Lincoln, with 12 nominations. In our initial likelihoods of victory for the big six categories, Lincoln is our most likely winner in three: best actor (Daniel Day-Lewis) at near certainty, best picture at 94 percent, and best director (Steven Spielberg) at 70 percent. For best supporting actor, Lincoln's Tommy Lee Jones at 46 percent is in a tight race with a The Master's Phillip Seymour Hoffman at 48 percent. Silver Linings Playbook's Jennifer Lawrence is the favorite for best actress at 56 percent and Les Miserables' Anne Hathaway is the favorite for best supporting actress at 95 percent. After best supporting actor, best actress is our next most competitive category with Zero Dark Thirty's Jessica Chastain just behind Jennifer Lawrence. Two other key movies to consider are Life of Pi with 11 nominations and Argo, which, while a long-s ...
Article Link:
The Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Government Goes After Prediction Markets and Research
Huffington Post - about 4 years
Just 20 days after the 2012 election, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) brought its hammer down on Intrade, the most recognized prediction market in the United States. This action was not entirely surprising and indeed its specter may have kept some traders away. Yet, despite this, and while Intrade is just one of many valuable sources in understanding upcoming events, Intrade's volume and reach was especially critical in understanding the real-time impact of major events. Whatever the CFTC's reasons, the crackdown represents a win for entrenched financial and gambling interests, and a loss not just for Intrade and its U.S.-based traders, but for researchers (including three Nobel Laureates) who study the use of markets as forecasting tools. The CFTC ruling will bar United States-based investors from utilizing Intrade moving forward. The ruling creates a non-negligible possibility that the prediction market could close, as the CTFC has previously ...
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Huffington Post article
Leighton Vaughan Williams: Election 2012: The Wisdom of the Crowd
Huffington Post - about 4 years
Now that the dust has slowly started to settle on the 2012 U.S. election campaign season, we are left with a picture of what happened, who won and who lost. Aside from the politicians who came in on the wrong side of the vote, the biggest losers of this election cycle are the prognosticators of the right, who were not only almost universally wrong about the outcome, but in many cases wrong by several orders of magnitude. An independent ranking of the best and worst forecasters, based on the number of key states predicted correctly, awards the 'broken forecast' prize to the man who called Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Florida for Mr. Romney, wrong in each and every case. Step forward Fox News pundit, Dick Morris. Close runners up for most woeful political prescience include another Fox News pundit and writer for the Washington Examiner, Michael Barone, as well as Steve Forbes, of Forbes Magazine and George Will of the Wash ...
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Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Xbox/YouGov Panel Quantifies Romney's First Debate Victory and Obama's Subsequent Debate Rebound
Huffington Post - over 4 years
Most political polls and pundits declared Governor Romney the runaway victor of the first presidential debate, while President Obama was generally credited with winning the second and third debates. However, what matters is not winning or losing debates, but whether the candidates won or lost votes because of the debates. Standard forecasting methods do not provide a clear answer to whether debate performances are accompanied by actual changes in voter preferences (i.e., whether the electorate cumulatively shifts their support one way or another around the events). A comprehensive analysis of the data from the YouGov/Xbox poll shows that Romney made a sizable gain after the first debate and that Obama cut back into that gain after the second and third debates. Overall, across the 30 days that included the ups and downs of the four most important preset events of the campaign, Romney had a net gain of 1.4 percentage point relative to Obama. Since Sept. 28, the YouGov/Xbo ...
Article Link:
Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Snapshots and Movies: Most Polls Are Snapshots, but the Xbox / YouGov Panel Shows Voters in Motion
Huffington Post - over 4 years
Confused by the incredible movement and variation in the daily stream of national popular vote polls? The Xbox/YouGov panel is your antidote to the noise; the panel paints a very clear picture of how the vote intentions of Xbox LIVE users have changed over the past three weeks. After the first presidential debate on Oct. 3 there was a record jump in respondents switching toward support for Romney and that rise in support persisted for a few days. The vice presidential debate stopped the bleeding for Obama and the second presidential debate on Oct. 16 gave Obama a few strong days. During this entire time the number of undecided voters has slowly drifted downward. For each day between Sept. 24 and Oct. 21, we estimated the percentage change in support for each candidate. This estimate is based on people who were interviewed on a particular day and at least once in the preceding five days, so that they reflect the actual changes of individual voters, not aggregate changes in d ...
Article Link:
Huffington Post article
Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise - The Trail
Reuters.com - over 4 years
Economist and Microsoft researcher David Rothschild of PredictWise.com says the polls are misleading and that President Obama is not now, nor has he ever been, behind Mitt Romney in the race for the White House. Rothschild’s forecasting model, which incorporates prediction markets like Intrade, gives Obama a better than 65% chance of re-election in November. (October 19, 2012)
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Reuters.com article
Predictions blogging: How can we handicap Obama's re-election chances? - Yahoo! News Blogs (blog)
Google News - over 5 years
As of this morning, a full year before the final balloons will drop at the last of the major presidential conventions of 2012, Barack Obama has a 50.9 percent likelihood of being elected US president for a
Article Link:
Google News article
David Rothschild talks about eco-traveling, sustainable businesses, good ... - Economic Times
Google News - over 5 years
At 11490 feet, it often boils down to how one handles pressure. For the uninitiated, the dizzy heights of Leh with its stark landscapes and clear blue skies, may feel like being in a picture postcard. But if one is not adequately acclimatised,
Article Link:
Google News article
Textiles group files, withdraws tariff petition - Furniture Today
Google News - over 5 years
The NTA said it filed the petition on behalf of US producers including American Silk Mills, David Rothschild Co., Milliken and Co., Raxon Fabrics, Sunbury Textile Mill, Valdese Weavers, Victor Textiles and Wearbest Sil-Tex Mills
Article Link:
Google News article
美寻求对中国纺织品征税的请愿书仅是个文件草案 - 和讯网
Google News - over 5 years
提交的文件代表了国内纺织品制造商,包括美国丝绸厂(American Silk Mills),大卫罗斯柴尔德公司(David Rothschild Co.,),美利肯公司(Milliken and Co),Raxon面料,森伯里纺织厂(Sunbury Textile Mills),Valdese织布
Article Link:
Google News article
Filing seeking tariffs on Chinese fabrics was just a draft, says official - Furniture Today
Google News - over 5 years
The document was submitted on behalf of a group of domestic textile manufacturers including American Silk Mills, David Rothschild Co., Milliken and Co., Raxon Fabrics, Sunbury Textile Mills, Valdese Weavers, Victor Textiles and Wearbest Sil-Tex Mills
Article Link:
Google News article
美国室内装饰纺织品制造商寻求对中国商品征收高关税 - 中国纺织网
Google News - over 5 years
在请愿书上签名的美国面料制造商有美国丝绸厂(American Silk Mills),大卫罗斯柴尔德公司(David Rothschild Co.,),美利肯公司(Milliken and Co.,),Raxon面料,森伯里纺织厂(Sunbury Textile Mill),Valdese织布厂
Article Link:
Google News article
US upholstery textile makers seek tariffs on Chinese goods - Furniture Today
Google News - over 5 years
US fabric manufacturers listed as participating in the petition are American Silk Mills, David Rothschild Co., Milliken and Co., Raxon Fabrics, Sunbury Textile Mill, Valdese Weavers, Victor Textiles and Wear-Best Sil-Tex Mills Ltd. According to the
Article Link:
Google News article
Ele venceu a primeira batalha - IstoÉ Dinheiro
Google News - over 5 years
Apenas com a força de seu nome levantou uma fortuna com banqueiros de Paris para criar seu fundo de investimentos, em sociedade com o amigo David Rothschild. Os bons negócios se multiplicaram ano após ano. Até que, em 1991, ele cruzou com a Rallye,
Article Link:
Google News article
Timeline
Learn about memorable moments in the evolution of David Mayer de Rothschild
    THIRTIES
  • 2012
    Age 33
    In 2012 de Rothschild developed Eco Trip: The Real Cost of Living, an eight part series on the production methods behind household items and the impact their use has on the environment.
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  • 2011
    Age 32
    In 2011 he also received the Honorary Award of the German Sustainability Award.
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    In 2011 de Rothschild served on the judging panel for the International Green Awards as well as the Climate Week Awards.
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    In November 2011 de Rothschild and a small crew mounted an expedition to Brazil’s Amazon rainforest as part of the ARTiculate series, with the goal of better understanding and publicizing the effects of the controversial Belo Monte dam project.
    More Details Hide Details This expedition was supplemented by articles on Myoo.com and culminated in an art project developed with local children. When asked by Outside Magazine reporter Caty Enders about whether an expedition could make a difference in a pressing issue like the Belo Monte dam de Rothschild replied that "it would be naïve to think that this mini art-based adventure into the Amazon is going to change what has been in motion for the last 36 years. But when you see someone in the road and they're dying, do you keep walking and say, Oh, they'll be dead soon? That's the reality when you embark on an adventure like this, you may never know the true outcome until many years later". The Myoo concept developed into the Myoo Agency, founded by de Rothschild as a marketing agency that works with businesses looking to create sustainable practices. The Plastiki development was done under the company name Smarter Plan, which continues to develop additional solutions for adapting waste into useful objects and devices. Myoo was eventually renamed the World-Exposure agency, reflecting his new partnership with the Exposure marketing agency. It carries on the task of introducing firms to sustainable practices and promoting communications strategies involving sustainable means and profiling sustainable enterprises. A precursor to Myoo was Rothschild's previous organization Adventure Ecology, the mission of which has been absorbed into World-Exposure.
  • 2009
    Age 30
    In 2009 Rothschild was named by the United Nations Environment Program as a "Climate Hero".
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  • TWENTIES
  • 2008
    Age 29
    The following year, due to his efforts at involving youth in environmental issues, he was the 2008 winner of the Kids' Choice Awards UK "Greenie Award".
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    In 2008, alongside others including Zac Goldsmith, David Cameron's environmental advisor, de Rothschild helped to write the commentary for the book Antarctica - The Global Warning.
    More Details Hide Details De Rothschild is a Huffington Post contributor, commenting on environmental issues. In early 2010 he also trademarked the phrase Equation For Curiosity.
    In 2008 he was the Consultant Editor for Earth Matters: An Encyclopedia of Ecology, wrote an action graphic novel, The Boy,The Girl,The Tree with artist Simon Harrison and wrote the Foreword to True Green Kids: 100 Things You Can Do to Save the Planet.
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  • 2007
    Age 28
    In 2007 de Rothschild wrote The Live Earth Global Warming Survival Handbook: 77 Essential Skills to Stop Climate Change—Or Live Through It (ISBN 978-1-59486-781-1), with afterword by Kevin Wall, which was the official companion book to the Live Earth concert series.
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    As part of Adventure Ecology’s ARTiculate series, de Rothschild led a field trip expedition to Ecuador in 2007.
    More Details Hide Details The group spent time in the Ecuadorian rain forest, documenting the damage international oil companies had caused by drilling the vast oil reserves.
  • 2006
    Age 27
    In 2006 he launched the website "Mission Control" in order to present his expeditions and environmental efforts to children and the youth.
    More Details Hide Details The trek across the Arctic was the first "mission" to be highlighted on the website, and the second was planned to either be a trek through the Amazon or a trek from Lake Baikal to the Gobi Desert. His expeditions also led to his founding of the Adventure Ecology organization, in order to use adventure to help inspire people to live more sustainably. Adventure Ecology is driven towards the youth demographic but is accessible to others as well. It serves as a community and network for the discussion of climate change and associated problems. In the late 2000s de Rothschild developed a mission to raise awareness of the Pacific Garbage Patch, in which he invented a new form of sustainable ship boat at a lab on Pier 31 in San Francisco, called the Plastiki. In March 2010, de Rothschild launched the boat, a catamaran built from approximately 12,500 reclaimed plastic bottles and a unique recyclable technology called Seretex. Seretex, which was developed by de Rothschild and his team, was meant to reuse PET in a novel way, finding new uses for a waste product. The Plastiki and its crew sailed over across the Pacific Ocean from San Francisco to Sydney. The evening before their journey began, de Rothschild and his skipper Jo Royle interviewed with CNN, quoting Mark Twain when asked how he felt in anticipation for the trip.
    In 2006, de Rothschild spent over 100 days crossing the Arctic from Russia to Canada, which saw him become one of only 42 people, and the youngest British person, to ever reach both geographical poles.
    More Details Hide Details He had already become one of only 14 people ever to traverse the continent of Antarctica, and was part of a team that broke the world record for the fastest ever crossing of the Greenland ice cap.
  • 2002
    Age 23
    In 2002, de Rothschild studied at the College of Naturopathic Medicine, London where he received an advanced Diploma in Natural Medicine, ND.
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  • 2001
    Age 22
    In 2001 he bought a 1,100 acre organic farm in New Zealand, and was invited to take part in a Polar expedition.
    More Details Hide Details This experience turned de Rothschild into an enterprising eco-adventurer.
  • TEENAGE
  • 1996
    Age 17
    After leaving Harrow School in 1996 he attended Oxford Brookes receiving a 2:1 B.Sc (Hons) in Political Science and Information Systems.
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  • CHILDHOOD
  • 1978
    Born
    The youngest heir to his family's banking fortune, de Rothschild was born in 1978 in London, England.
    More Details Hide Details His mother, Victoria Lou (Schott), is American, daughter of Marcia Lou (Whitney) and Lewis M. Schott. He is the younger brother of Anthony de Rothschild and Jessica de Rothschild. As a teenager, de Rothschild was a top-ranked horse jumper on Britain's junior event team. He later gave up the sport to pursue his education, stating in an interview with The New Yorker "I realized there was more to life than spending hours and hours and hours on a horse."
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