David Rothschild

British environmentalist David Rothschild

David Mayer de Rothschild is a British adventurer, ecologist, and environmentalist and head of Adventure Ecology, an expedition group raising awareness about climate change. He is a member of the Rothschild family, the youngest of three children of Victoria Lou Schott (born 1949) and Sir Evelyn de Rothschild (b. 1931) of the Rothschild banking family of England.
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home town
London
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The Amazon Reviews Of Ivanka's New Book Pretty Adequately Sum Up America
Huffington Post - 10 months
function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); If you haven’t heard, Ivanka Trump, an assistant to President Donald Trump who just randomly doubles as his daughter, has a new book out. It’s titled Women Who Work: Rewriting the Rules for Success. Say what you will about the book itself, and people have said a lot of very bad things, but it’s created quite the schism on Amazon ― one that works rather well as a metaphor for an incredibly polarized and hostile U.S. political climate. As of this writing...
Article Link:
 Huffington Post article
Clinton’s Improved Odds Spark Global Stock Market Rally
Yahoo News - over 1 year
It’s hard to know exactly what impact the FBI’s announcement on Sunday that it will not recommend criminal charges against Hillary Clinton because of her private email server will have on tomorrow’s presidential election. Shortly after a letter from FBI Director James Comey was released on Sunday saying that a new cache of emails (most of which were duplicates of emails already reviewed) had revealed no evidence of criminal wrongdoing, economist David Rothschild, who monitors political betting markets, noted an uptick in the price of futures contracts that pay out if Clinton wins. By Monday morning, Rothschild’s aggregation of betting market data was showing an 89 percent chance of a Clinton victory over Republican Donald Trump.
Article Link:
 Yahoo News article
The science of predicting Oscar winners
Reuters.com - almost 5 years
Want to know which films stand to win the most statues at the Academy Awards? Applying models used to forecast elections, economist David Rothschild of Microsoft Research breaks down the probabilities in six of the top categories. (February 21, 2012)
Article Link:
 Reuters.com article
David Rothschild: How Many Oscars Will Lincoln Win? Not Too Many!
Huffington Post - about 5 years
After addressing all 24 categories individually, it is an interesting and meaningful follow-up to consider how they interact. If Lincoln wins the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay, does that make Lincoln's likelihood of winning Best Picture increase, decrease, or is there no correlation? A positive correlation story assumes that voters like (or know) certain movies and will vote for those movies in multiple categories; thus, as movies win earlier categories, they are more likely to win later categories. For example, in the most extreme situation, assume voters are either Argo or Lincoln fans. Any voter that votes for Argo (Lincoln) for Best Adapted Screenplay will also vote for Argo (Lincoln) for Best Picture. Thus, if Argo (Lincoln) wins Best Adapted Screenplay it becomes extremely likely to win Best Picture. A negative correlation story assumes that voters want to spread around their accolades by giving different movies votes in different categories; thus, as movies w...
Article Link:
 Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Obama Versus Lincoln and Argo
Huffington Post - about 5 years
Branching out from politics and economics, I have been examining Oscar predictions over the last few weeks. While I approach the science of predictions the same way for both political elections and the Oscars, there are some key differences. When I forecast politics I utilize four main sources of data: fundamental data (i.e., economic indicators, incumbency, etc.,), prediction markets, polls, and user-generated data. Two of these sources: polls and fundamental data are much less useful for the Oscars. This places greater strain on the other two sources: prediction markets and user-generated data. Early in an election cycle I rely on the fundamental data to provide a baseline prediction for all of the elections. My model was very accurate for 2012, correctly predicting 50 of 51 Electoral College elections in mid-February. The same two candidates run in all 51 Electoral College races, thus there is no state-by-state difference for some key fundamental categories: presidentia...
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 Huffington Post article
Michael Hogan: Predicting The Oscars ... With Science!
The Huffington Post - about 5 years
If the media learned anything from the 2012 election (fat chance), it's that today's sophisticated statistical models are far better at predicting outcomes than self-appointed pundits with pet theories. Not that we'll ever be free of the latter, but we now have a license to treat them the way Brad Pitt treated the chain-smoking scouts in "Moneyball" who judged baseball prospects based on their looks rather than their ability to get to first base. Nate Silver got the lion's share of press for predicting the outcome of the presidential race in all 50 states, but HuffPost's own Simon Jackson and Mark Blumenthal, working under the HuffPost Pollster banner, matched that impressive feat. Naturally, as the guy in charge of the entertainment operation here, I wanted in on the action. After months of floating theories with my colleague Christopher Rosen in our weekly FYC column, I told Blumenthal I wanted a statistical model that could tell us with scientific certainty who wou...
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 The Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Handicapping the Oscars, It Is All About Lincoln
The Huffington Post - about 5 years
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced its nominees for 85th Academy Awards and the big story so far this awards season is Lincoln, with 12 nominations. In our initial likelihoods of victory for the big six categories, Lincoln is our most likely winner in three: best actor (Daniel Day-Lewis) at near certainty, best picture at 94 percent, and best director (Steven Spielberg) at 70 percent. For best supporting actor, Lincoln's Tommy Lee Jones at 46 percent is in a tight race with a The Master's Phillip Seymour Hoffman at 48 percent. Silver Linings Playbook's Jennifer Lawrence is the favorite for best actress at 56 percent and Les Miserables' Anne Hathaway is the favorite for best supporting actress at 95 percent. After best supporting actor, best actress is our next most competitive category with Zero Dark Thirty's Jessica Chastain just behind Jennifer Lawrence. Two other key movies to consider are Life of Pi with 11 nominations and Argo, which, while a long-...
Article Link:
 The Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Government Goes After Prediction Markets and Research
Huffington Post - about 5 years
Just 20 days after the 2012 election, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) brought its hammer down on Intrade, the most recognized prediction market in the United States. This action was not entirely surprising and indeed its specter may have kept some traders away. Yet, despite this, and while Intrade is just one of many valuable sources in understanding upcoming events, Intrade's volume and reach was especially critical in understanding the real-time impact of major events. Whatever the CFTC's reasons, the crackdown represents a win for entrenched financial and gambling interests, and a loss not just for Intrade and its U.S.-based traders, but for researchers (including three Nobel Laureates) who study the use of markets as forecasting tools. The CFTC ruling will bar United States-based investors from utilizing Intrade moving forward. The ruling creates a non-negligible possibility that the prediction market could close, as the CTFC has previousl...
Article Link:
 Huffington Post article
Leighton Vaughan Williams: Election 2012: The Wisdom of the Crowd
Huffington Post - about 5 years
Now that the dust has slowly started to settle on the 2012 U.S. election campaign season, we are left with a picture of what happened, who won and who lost. Aside from the politicians who came in on the wrong side of the vote, the biggest losers of this election cycle are the prognosticators of the right, who were not only almost universally wrong about the outcome, but in many cases wrong by several orders of magnitude. An independent ranking of the best and worst forecasters, based on the number of key states predicted correctly, awards the 'broken forecast' prize to the man who called Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Florida for Mr. Romney, wrong in each and every case. Step forward Fox News pundit, Dick Morris. Close runners up for most woeful political prescience include another Fox News pundit and writer for the Washington Examiner, Michael Barone, as well as Steve Forbes, of Forbes Magazine and George Will of the Was...
Article Link:
 Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Xbox/YouGov Panel Quantifies Romney's First Debate Victory and Obama's Subsequent Debate Rebound
Huffington Post - over 5 years
Most political polls and pundits declared Governor Romney the runaway victor of the first presidential debate, while President Obama was generally credited with winning the second and third debates. However, what matters is not winning or losing debates, but whether the candidates won or lost votes because of the debates. Standard forecasting methods do not provide a clear answer to whether debate performances are accompanied by actual changes in voter preferences (i.e., whether the electorate cumulatively shifts their support one way or another around the events). A comprehensive analysis of the data from the YouGov/Xbox poll shows that Romney made a sizable gain after the first debate and that Obama cut back into that gain after the second and third debates. Overall, across the 30 days that included the ups and downs of the four most important preset events of the campaign, Romney had a net gain of 1.4 percentage point relative to Obama. Since Sept. 28, the YouGov/Xb...
Article Link:
 Huffington Post article
David Rothschild: Snapshots and Movies: Most Polls Are Snapshots, but the Xbox / YouGov Panel Shows Voters in Motion
Huffington Post - over 5 years
Confused by the incredible movement and variation in the daily stream of national popular vote polls? The Xbox/YouGov panel is your antidote to the noise; the panel paints a very clear picture of how the vote intentions of Xbox LIVE users have changed over the past three weeks. After the first presidential debate on Oct. 3 there was a record jump in respondents switching toward support for Romney and that rise in support persisted for a few days. The vice presidential debate stopped the bleeding for Obama and the second presidential debate on Oct. 16 gave Obama a few strong days. During this entire time the number of undecided voters has slowly drifted downward. For each day between Sept. 24 and Oct. 21, we estimated the percentage change in support for each candidate. This estimate is based on people who were interviewed on a particular day and at least once in the preceding five days, so that they reflect the actual changes of individual voters, not aggregate changes in ...
Article Link:
 Huffington Post article
Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise - The Trail
Reuters.com - over 5 years
Economist and Microsoft researcher David Rothschild of PredictWise.com says the polls are misleading and that President Obama is not now, nor has he ever been, behind Mitt Romney in the race for the White House. Rothschild’s forecasting model, which incorporates prediction markets like Intrade, gives Obama a better than 65% chance of re-election in November. (October 19, 2012)
Article Link:
 Reuters.com article
Predictions blogging: How can we handicap Obama's re-election chances? - Yahoo! News Blogs (blog)
Google News - over 6 years
As of this morning, a full year before the final balloons will drop at the last of the major presidential conventions of 2012, Barack Obama has a 50.9 percent likelihood of being elected US president for a
Article Link:
 Google News article
David Rothschild talks about eco-traveling, sustainable businesses, good ... - Economic Times
Google News - over 6 years
At 11490 feet, it often boils down to how one handles pressure. For the uninitiated, the dizzy heights of Leh with its stark landscapes and clear blue skies, may feel like being in a picture postcard. But if one is not adequately acclimatised,
Article Link:
 Google News article
Textiles group files, withdraws tariff petition - Furniture Today
Google News - over 6 years
The NTA said it filed the petition on behalf of US producers including American Silk Mills, David Rothschild Co., Milliken and Co., Raxon Fabrics, Sunbury Textile Mill, Valdese Weavers, Victor Textiles and Wearbest Sil-Tex Mills
Article Link:
 Google News article
美寻求对中国纺织品征税的请愿书仅是个文件草案 - 和讯网
Google News - over 6 years
提交的文件代表了国内纺织品制造商,包括美国丝绸厂(American Silk Mills),大卫罗斯柴尔德公司(David Rothschild Co.,),美利肯公司(Milliken and Co),Raxon面料,森伯里纺织厂(Sunbury Textile Mills),Valdese织布
Article Link:
 Google News article
Filing seeking tariffs on Chinese fabrics was just a draft, says official - Furniture Today
Google News - over 6 years
The document was submitted on behalf of a group of domestic textile manufacturers including American Silk Mills, David Rothschild Co., Milliken and Co., Raxon Fabrics, Sunbury Textile Mills, Valdese Weavers, Victor Textiles and Wearbest Sil-Tex Mills
Article Link:
 Google News article
Timeline
Learn about memorable moments in the evolution of David Mayer de Rothschild
    THIRTIES
  • 2012
    Age 33
    In 2012 de Rothschild developed Eco Trip: The Real Cost of Living, an eight part series on the production methods behind household items and the impact their use has on the environment.
  • 2011
    Age 32
    In 2011 he also received the Honorary Award of the German Sustainability Award.
    In 2011 de Rothschild served on the judging panel for the International Green Awards as well as the Climate Week Awards.
    In November 2011 de Rothschild and a small crew mounted an expedition to Brazil’s Amazon rainforest as part of the ARTiculate series, with the goal of better understanding and publicizing the effects of the controversial Belo Monte dam project.
    More Details
  • 2009
    Age 30
    In 2009 Rothschild was named by the United Nations Environment Program as a "Climate Hero".
  • TWENTIES
  • 2008
    Age 29
    The following year, due to his efforts at involving youth in environmental issues, he was the 2008 winner of the Kids' Choice Awards UK "Greenie Award".
    In 2008, alongside others including Zac Goldsmith, David Cameron's environmental advisor, de Rothschild helped to write the commentary for the book Antarctica - The Global Warning.
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    In 2008 he was the Consultant Editor for Earth Matters: An Encyclopedia of Ecology, wrote an action graphic novel, The Boy,The Girl,The Tree with artist Simon Harrison and wrote the Foreword to True Green Kids: 100 Things You Can Do to Save the Planet.
  • 2007
    Age 28
    In 2007 de Rothschild wrote The Live Earth Global Warming Survival Handbook: 77 Essential Skills to Stop Climate Change—Or Live Through It (ISBN 978-1-59486-781-1), with afterword by Kevin Wall, which was the official companion book to the Live Earth concert series.
    As part of Adventure Ecology’s ARTiculate series, de Rothschild led a field trip expedition to Ecuador in 2007.
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  • 2006
    Age 27
    In 2006 he launched the website "Mission Control" in order to present his expeditions and environmental efforts to children and the youth.
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    In 2006, de Rothschild spent over 100 days crossing the Arctic from Russia to Canada, which saw him become one of only 42 people, and the youngest British person, to ever reach both geographical poles.
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  • 2002
    Age 23
    In 2002, de Rothschild studied at the College of Naturopathic Medicine, London where he received an advanced Diploma in Natural Medicine, ND.
  • 2001
    Age 22
    In 2001 he bought a 1,100 acre organic farm in New Zealand, and was invited to take part in a Polar expedition.
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  • TEENAGE
  • 1996
    Age 17
    After leaving Harrow School in 1996 he attended Oxford Brookes receiving a 2:1 B.Sc (Hons) in Political Science and Information Systems.
  • CHILDHOOD
  • 1978
    Born
    The youngest heir to his family's banking fortune, de Rothschild was born in 1978 in London, England.
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